Trade Alerts

All posts by Humble Student

Don’t worry about bad breadth, NYSE e...

Nov 15, 2016No Comments

I have been seeing analysis from various quarters raising concerns about the sustainability of the post-election stock market advance because of the poor breadth of

Trump vs. the Fed: War or détente?

Nov 14, 2016No Comments

In many ways, Donald Trump is an economic enigma. Candidate Trump has in the past advocated wildly contradictory positions on the campaign trail. Sometime the

The Trump presidency: A glass half-full

Nov 13, 2016No Comments

Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The “Ultimate Market Timing Model” is a long-term

The market has spoken!

Nov 09, 2016No Comments

Mid-week market update: Today’s market action should be a lesson to me to change model rankings based on overnight futures prices, which trades in a

What now?

Nov 08, 2016No Comments

As I write these words, there is pandemonium in the markets. ES futures are down about 4%. My 16 year-old (Canadian) daughter received an offer

Who to believe? Former VL research director...

Nov 07, 2016No Comments

I got a few questions about an apparent contradiction in my last post (see Don’t be fooled, Election 2016 isn’t the Brexit referendum). I had

Buy Yom Kippur! SPX 2500 by Passover?

Oct 09, 2016No Comments

Preface: Explaining our market timing models We maintain several market timing models, each with differing time horizons. The “Ultimate Market Timing Model” is a long-term

My September NFP guess

Oct 05, 2016No Comments

This Friday will be another potentially market moving Employment Report day, even though the release is based on noisy data with a high margin of

Don’t ask me about gold, ask about th...

Oct 05, 2016No Comments

Mid-week market update: The market gods must be angry. Just as a goldbug predicted the demise of the US Dollar (and therefore the rise of

Dangerous over-valuation, or a New Era?

Oct 03, 2016No Comments

Business Insider recently featured a chart from Vanguard Group founder Jack Bogle, who observed that the market cap to GDP ratio has become highly elevated to